22 Oct · 21:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JB
🇨🇿Jan Benak
ELO 1677
FormWLWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Benak
MK
🇨🇿Marek Kulisek
ELO 1603
FormLLWWW
56%
44%
🌟Benak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (54)
Fair odds · Benak
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+74
H2H12-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-5)