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22 Oct · 18:05 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JKJan Kabelka
🇨🇿Jan Kabelka
ELO 1474
1-3Final setsJonas won
RJRoman Jonas
🇨🇿Roman Jonas
ELO 1429
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Jonas at 52%. The actual result was Roman Jonas 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Roman Jonas favoured — closing 1.64
Favourite won
Total 78.5
74 points played
Under
Set handicap
Roman Jonas −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Roman Jonas −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 1-3 at close
5.75
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jan Kabelka is favoured to win, below means Roman Jonas.

▲ Jan Kabelkapre 51% → final 1%
Roman Jonas ▼
Biggest swing 66 ptsJonas recovered from 33%72 points · 4 games