22 Oct · 21:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KP
🇨🇿Kamil Przeczek
ELO 1422
FormLLLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Chvojka
PC
🇨🇿Peter Chvojka
ELO 1535
FormWLWWL
41%
59%
Fair odds · Chvojka
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 48% · 2.08· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+113
H2H5-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+113)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-4)