22 Oct · 21:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1487
FormLWWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Marsalek
PM
🇨🇿Patrik Marsalek
ELO 1518
FormWWLWL
47%
53%
🌟Marsalek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (18)
Fair odds · Marsalek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H6-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.