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22 Oct · 13:40 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MOMaksim Ovcharenko
🇨🇿Maksim Ovcharenko
ELO 1657
3-2Final setsOvcharenko won
JCJakub Chojnacki
🇨🇿Jakub Chojnacki
ELO 1500
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Ovcharenko at 62%. The actual result was Maksim Ovcharenko 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Maksim Ovcharenko favoured — closing 1.35
Favourite won
Total 74.5
93 points played
Over
Set handicap
Maksim Ovcharenko −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Maksim Ovcharenko −6.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.65
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maksim Ovcharenko is favoured to win, below means Jakub Chojnacki.

▲ Maksim Ovcharenkopre 66% → final 100%
Jakub Chojnacki ▼
Biggest swing 44 pts60 points · 4 games