23 Oct · 08:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DV
🇨🇿David Vesecky
ELO 1576
FormLLLWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Cerny
MC
🇨🇿Martin Cerny
ELO 1717
FormLWWLL
39%
61%
Fair odds · Cerny
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~73 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+141
H2H89-76
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+141)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (89-76)