23 Oct · 07:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JC
🇨🇿Jakub Chojnacki
ELO 1500
FormLLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Molka
BM
🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka
ELO 1542
FormLLLWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Molka
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 55% · 1.83· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H6-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.