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22 Oct · 21:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
RJRoman Jonas
🇨🇿Roman Jonas
ELO 1442
3-2Final setsJonas won
MCMartin Chmelicek
🇨🇿Martin Chmelicek
ELO 1489
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Chmelicek at 55%. The actual result was Roman Jonas 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Martin Chmelicek favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Total 75.5
97 points played
Over
Set handicap
Martin Chmelicek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Martin Chmelicek −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.32
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.75
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Roman Jonas is favoured to win, below means Martin Chmelicek.

▲ Roman Jonaspre 41% → final 22%
Martin Chmelicek ▼
Biggest swing 45 pts72 points · 5 games