23 Oct · 09:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VN
🇨🇿Vaclav Nadvornik
ELO 1721
FormWWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Nadvornik
PD
🇨🇿Petr Dvorak
ELO 1678
FormWLWWW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Nadvornik
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H2-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.