23 Oct · 08:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Slavik
ELO 1544
FormWLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kleprlik
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kleprlik
ELO 1594
FormWWWWL
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Slavik🌟Slavik covers set handicap as underdog 65% (57)
Fair odds · Kleprlik
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 57% · 1.75· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H2-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.