23 Oct · 09:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlad
ELO 1497
FormWWWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Sindler
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1528
FormLLLWW
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Chlad🌟Sindler rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (174)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H13-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.