23 Oct · 08:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DO
🇨🇿David Osvald
ELO 1531
FormWLLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Osvald
AD
🇨🇿Ales Drozd
ELO 1454
FormLWWWW
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Drozd🌟Osvald stays under total as favourite 68% (37)
Fair odds · Osvald
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+77
H2H4-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)