23 Oct · 08:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1528
FormLLLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Sindler
AD
🇨🇿Ales Drozd
ELO 1454
FormLWWWW
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Drozd🌟Sindler rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (174)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+74
H2H3-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)