23 Oct · 08:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MM
🇨🇿Michal Macurak
ELO 1627
FormLLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Macurak
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kleprlik
ELO 1594
FormWWWWL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Macurak
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 39% · 2.56· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H4-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.