23 Oct · 07:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MM
🇨🇿Michal Macurak
ELO 1627
FormLLWWW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Macurak
LK
🇨🇿Lukas Kantor
ELO 1443
FormLLLWL
65%
35%
Fair odds · Macurak
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+184
H2H7-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+184)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-6)