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23 Oct · 08:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
PGPawel Gola
🇨🇿Pawel Gola
ELO 1575
3-0Final setsGola won
MOMaksim Ovcharenko
🇨🇿Maksim Ovcharenko
ELO 1646
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Ovcharenko at 58%. The actual result was Pawel Gola 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Ovcharenko favoured — closing 1.35
Upset
Total 71.5
49 points played
Under
Set handicap
Ovcharenko −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Ovcharenko −7.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
14.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Pawel Gola is favoured to win, below means Maksim Ovcharenko.

▲ Pawel Golapre 45% → final 100%
Maksim Ovcharenko ▼
Biggest swing 59 ptsGola recovered from 41%53 points · 3 games