23 Oct · 20:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇨🇿David Stusek
ELO 1613
FormLWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Stusek
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1551
FormWLLLW
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jr
Fair odds · Stusek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+62
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)