23 Oct · 21:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JC
🇨🇿Jean-Baptiste Cousin
ELO 1476
FormLWLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Jirka
LJ
🇨🇿Lukas Jirka
ELO 1520
FormLLWLL
46%
54%
🌟Jirka stays under total as favourite 66% (29)
Fair odds · Jirka
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+44
H2H11-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.