23 Oct · 20:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vidourek
ELO 1449
FormWLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vidourek
SM
🇨🇿Simon Mezlik
ELO 1439
FormWLWWL
51%
49%
🌟Vidourek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (19)
Fair odds · Vidourek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 57% · 1.75· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+10
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.