23 Oct · 21:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kanak
ELO 1545
FormLWWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Stusek
DS
🇨🇿David Stusek
ELO 1613
FormLWWWW
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kanak🌟Kanak covers set handicap as underdog 74% (85)
Fair odds · Stusek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.80· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+68
H2H1-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)