23 Oct · 20:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MC
🇨🇿Martin Chmelicek
ELO 1459
FormLLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Chmelicek
MD
🇨🇿Miloslav Dvorak
ELO 1369
FormLLLLW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Chmelicek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+90
H2H8-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)