23 Oct · 20:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JC
🇨🇿Jean-Baptiste Cousin
ELO 1476
FormLWLWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Sebl
JS
🇨🇿Jachym Sebl
ELO 1596
FormWLWWW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Sebl
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 68% · 1.46· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
19%
0-3
19%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+120
H2H16-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+120)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-8)