Maksim Ovcharenko vs Bartlomiej Molka

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23 Oct · 10:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇨🇿Maksim Ovcharenko

ELO 1646

3-2Final setsOvcharenko won

🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka

ELO 1537

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Ovcharenko at 56%. The actual result was Maksim Ovcharenko 3-2 — the pick was correct.

Maksim Ovcharenko — profile →Bartlomiej Molka — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Ovcharenko favoured — closing 1.45

Favourite won

Total 74.5

87 points played

Over

Set handicap

Ovcharenko −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Ovcharenko −5.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Over

Exact score

market priced 3-2 at close

4.75

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maksim Ovcharenko is favoured to win, below means Bartlomiej Molka.

▲ Maksim Ovcharenkopre 60% → final 99%

Bartlomiej Molka ▼

Biggest swing 58 ptsOvcharenko recovered from 41%72 points · 5 games