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Ratings & Predictions
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← TT Cup predictions
23 Oct · 13:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MSMarcin Stepien
🇨🇿Marcin Stepien
ELO 1616
3-1Final setsStepien won
JCJakub Chojnacki
🇨🇿Jakub Chojnacki
ELO 1491
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Stepien at 59%. The actual result was Marcin Stepien 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Chojnacki favoured — closing 1.57
Upset
Set handicap
Chojnacki −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Chojnacki −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.75
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marcin Stepien is favoured to win, below means Jakub Chojnacki.

▲ Marcin Stepienpre 63% → final 100%
Jakub Chojnacki ▼
Biggest swing 37 pts72 points · 4 games