23 Oct · 20:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
WM
🇨🇿Wieslaw Mazurek
ELO 1563
FormLLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Bucko
DB
🇨🇿Damian Bucko
ELO 1584
FormWLWLL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Bucko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.