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24 Oct · 07:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
SMSimon Mezlik
🇨🇿Simon Mezlik
ELO 1447
3-2Final setsMezlik won
MCMartin Chmelicek
🇨🇿Martin Chmelicek
ELO 1454
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Chmelicek at 52%. The actual result was Simon Mezlik 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Chmelicek favoured — closing 1.68
Upset
Total 75.5
87 points played
Over
Set handicap
Chmelicek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Chmelicek −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.32
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.6
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Simon Mezlik is favoured to win, below means Martin Chmelicek.

▲ Simon Mezlikpre 44% → final 99%
Martin Chmelicek ▼
Biggest swing 89 ptsMezlik recovered from 10%72 points · 5 games