24 Oct · 08:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JJ
🇨🇿Jan Manhal Jr
ELO 1464
FormWWLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Jr
SM
🇨🇿Simon Mezlik
ELO 1423
FormLWLLW
53%
47%
🌟Jr rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (49)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 56% · 1.80· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.