24 Oct · 08:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇨🇿David Sarganek
ELO 1661
FormWWWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Sarganek
RK
🇨🇿Rene Kowal
ELO 1552
FormWLLLL
59%
41%
🌟Sarganek stays under total as favourite 67% (129)
Fair odds · Sarganek
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 56% · 1.80· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~73 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+109
H2H35-31
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+109)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (35-31)