24 Oct · 07:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1514
FormLLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sindler
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlad
ELO 1499
FormWLWLW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Chlad🌟Sindler rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (174)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+15
H2H13-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.