24 Oct · 09:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AV
🇨🇿Adam Vitasek
ELO 1557
FormWWWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Sarganek
DS
🇨🇿David Sarganek
ELO 1661
FormWWWLL
41%
59%
🌟Vitasek stays under total as underdog 69% (13)
Fair odds · Sarganek
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+104
H2H7-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+104)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-6)