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24 Oct · 11:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MSMartin Sobota
🇨🇿Martin Sobota
ELO 1415
3-1Final setsSobota won
RJRichard Jancak
🇨🇿Richard Jancak
ELO 1497
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Jancak at 59%. The actual result was Martin Sobota 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jancak favoured — closing 1.51
Upset
Total 76.5
87 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jancak −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jancak −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.35
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.85
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Martin Sobota is favoured to win, below means Richard Jancak.

▲ Martin Sobotapre 37% → final 73%
Richard Jancak ▼
Biggest swing 65 ptsSobota recovered from 22%72 points · 4 games