24 Oct · 16:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KL
🇨🇿Krystof Lahodny
ELO 1504
FormWLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Lahodny
RV
🇨🇿Richard Vavricka
ELO 1497
FormLWWLL
51%
49%
🌟Vavricka covers set handicap as underdog 69% (42)
Fair odds · Lahodny
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.