24 Oct · 17:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LJ
🇨🇿Lukas Krupnik Jr
ELO 1496
FormLLWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Jr
JJ
🇨🇿Jaroslav Neuwirth Jnr
ELO 1439
FormLLWLL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jnr🌟Jnr covers set handicap as underdog 68% (69)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H28-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (28-13)