24 Oct · 13:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
TP
🇨🇿Tomas Palan
ELO 1548
3-0Final setsPalan won
JL
🇨🇿Jan Lovl
ELO 1617
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Lovl at 57%. The actual result was Tomas Palan 3-0 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Jan Lovl favoured — closing 1.49
Total 74.5
56 points played
Set handicap
Jan Lovl −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Jan Lovl −6.5 points
Total sets 3.5
closing 2.84
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Tomas Palan is favoured to win, below means Jan Lovl.
▲ Tomas Palanpre 46% → final 73%
Jan Lovl ▼
Biggest swing 54 ptsPalan recovered from 19%72 points · 4 games