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24 Oct · 16:25 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JCJean-Baptiste Cousin
🇨🇿Jean-Baptiste Cousin
ELO 1489
3-2Final setsCousin won
JDJaroslav Dohnal
🇨🇿Jaroslav Dohnal
ELO 1540
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Dohnal at 54%. The actual result was Jean-Baptiste Cousin 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jaroslav Dohnal favoured — closing 1.63
Upset
Total 76.5
93 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jaroslav Dohnal −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jaroslav Dohnal −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.7
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jean-Baptiste Cousin is favoured to win, below means Jaroslav Dohnal.

▲ Jean-Baptiste Cousinpre 49% → final 22%
Jaroslav Dohnal ▼
Biggest swing 76 ptsDohnal recovered from 2%72 points · 5 games