24 Oct · 21:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OH
🇨🇿Ondrej Hula
ELO 1483
FormLLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Zeman
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zeman
ELO 1500
FormLLWWL
49%
51%
🌟Hula goes over total as underdog 79% (24)
Fair odds · Zeman
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.02· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+17
H2H2-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.