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25 Oct · 11:40 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
PSPatrik Sturma
🇨🇿Patrik Sturma
ELO 1445
3-1Final setsSturma won
MSMartin Sobota
🇨🇿Martin Sobota
ELO 1406
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Sturma at 50%. The actual result was Patrik Sturma 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Sobota favoured — closing 1.81
Upset
Total 76.5
72 points played
Under
Set handicap
Sobota −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Sobota −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.27
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.9
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Patrik Sturma is favoured to win, below means Martin Sobota.

▲ Patrik Sturmapre 54% → final 100%
Martin Sobota ▼
Biggest swing 84 ptsSturma recovered from 16%71 points · 4 games