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24 Oct · 23:45 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
SWSylwester Wloszek
🇨🇿Sylwester Wloszek
ELO 1558
1-3Final setsOvcharenko won
MOMaksim Ovcharenko
🇨🇿Maksim Ovcharenko
ELO 1669
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Ovcharenko at 58%. The actual result was Maksim Ovcharenko 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Ovcharenko favoured — closing 1.5
Favourite won
Total 76.5
71 points played
Under
Set handicap
Ovcharenko −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Ovcharenko −4.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Sylwester Wloszek is favoured to win, below means Maksim Ovcharenko.

▲ Sylwester Wloszekpre 45% → final 97%
Maksim Ovcharenko ▼
Biggest swing 86 ptsWloszek recovered from 13%72 points · 4 games