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25 Oct · 15:50 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
OSOndrej Sebek
🇨🇿Ondrej Sebek
ELO 1376
3-1Final setsSebek won
MKMichal Kolbusovsky
🇨🇿Michal Kolbusovsky
ELO 1245
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Sebek at 59%. The actual result was Ondrej Sebek 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Ondrej Sebek favoured — closing 1.41
Favourite won
Total 71.5
80 points played
Over
Set handicap
Ondrej Sebek −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Ondrej Sebek −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.38
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
7.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Ondrej Sebek is favoured to win, below means Michal Kolbusovsky.

▲ Ondrej Sebekpre 63% → final 96%
Michal Kolbusovsky ▼
Biggest swing 39 pts72 points · 4 games