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25 Oct · 12:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
BMBartlomiej Molka
🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka
ELO 1561
3-0Final setsMolka won
MSMarcin Stepien
🇨🇿Marcin Stepien
ELO 1596
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Stepien at 57%. The actual result was Bartlomiej Molka 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Stepien favoured — closing 1.35
Upset
Total 76.5
61 points played
Under
Set handicap
Stepien −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Stepien −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Molka is favoured to win, below means Marcin Stepien.

▲ Bartlomiej Molkapre 46% → final 94%
Marcin Stepien ▼
Biggest swing 48 pts60 points · 3 games