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25 Oct · 18:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
DHDavid Hons
🇨🇿David Hons
ELO 1594
3-2Final setsHons won
JLJan Lovl
🇨🇿Jan Lovl
ELO 1613
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lovl at 52%. The actual result was David Hons 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jan Lovl favoured — closing 1.59
Upset
Total 73.5
97 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jan Lovl −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jan Lovl −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.7
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means David Hons is favoured to win, below means Jan Lovl.

▲ David Honspre 44% → final 91%
Jan Lovl ▼
Biggest swing 88 ptsHons recovered from 7%72 points · 5 games