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25 Oct · 19:05 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JKJakub Komorowicz
🇨🇿Jakub Komorowicz
ELO 1442
3-2Final setsKomorowicz won
DKDenys Kovtanyuk
🇨🇿Denys Kovtanyuk
ELO 1389
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Komorowicz at 53%. The actual result was Jakub Komorowicz 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Denys Kovtanyuk favoured — closing 1.8
Upset
Total 78.5
96 points played
Over
Set handicap
Denys Kovtanyuk −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Denys Kovtanyuk −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.55
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Komorowicz is favoured to win, below means Denys Kovtanyuk.

▲ Jakub Komorowiczpre 50% → final 90%
Denys Kovtanyuk ▼
Biggest swing 71 ptsKomorowicz recovered from 19%72 points · 5 games