26 Oct · 08:55 MEZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇨🇿David Sochor
ELO 1416
FormLLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Langer
AL
🇨🇿Ales Langer
ELO 1478
FormLLLLL
45%
55%
🌟Langer rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (143)
Fair odds · Langer
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+62
H2H11-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-10)