26 Oct · 07:45 MEZHigh · Clear Favorite
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1611
FormWLWWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Benes
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kindl
ELO 1477
FormLLWWL
61%
39%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kindl🌟Kindl goes over total as underdog 68% (103)
Fair odds · Benes
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 54% · 1.84· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+134
H2H19-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+134)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-16)