26 Oct · 08:10 MEZLow · Coin Flip
DO
🇨🇿David Osvald
ELO 1530
FormWLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Jokiel
PJ
🇨🇿Patrik Jokiel
ELO 1541
FormWWLWW
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Osvald🌟Osvald stays under total as underdog 67% (18)
Fair odds · Jokiel
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.29· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+11
H2H3-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.