26 Oct · 09:10 MEZMedium · Model Lean
AD
🇨🇿Ales Drozd
ELO 1461
FormWWLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Osvald
DO
🇨🇿David Osvald
ELO 1530
FormWLWLL
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Drozd🌟Osvald stays under total as favourite 63% (41)
Fair odds · Osvald
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 55% · 1.82· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+69
H2H5-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)