26 Oct · 09:15 MEZMedium · Model Lean
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kindl
ELO 1477
FormLLWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Pawlik
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pawlik
ELO 1569
FormLWWLW
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kindl🌟Kindl goes over total as underdog 68% (103)
Fair odds · Pawlik
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 50% · 1.99· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+92
H2H11-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+92)