26 Oct · 09:55 MEZLow · Slight Edge
DS
🇨🇿David Sochor
ELO 1416
FormLLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Chlumsky
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlumsky
ELO 1451
FormWWLLW
47%
53%
🌟Chlumsky goes over total as favourite 65% (49)
Fair odds · Chlumsky
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.02· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.