Maksim Ovcharenko vs Michal Lysakowski

← TT Cup predictions

26 Oct · 07:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇨🇿Maksim Ovcharenko

ELO 1694

3-1Final setsOvcharenko won

🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski

ELO 1557

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Ovcharenko at 58%. The actual result was Maksim Ovcharenko 3-1 — the pick was correct.

Maksim Ovcharenko — profile →Michal Lysakowski — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Maksim Ovcharenko favoured — closing 1.68

Favourite won

Total 76.5

76 points played

Under

Set handicap

Maksim Ovcharenko −1.5 sets

Covered

Points handicap

Maksim Ovcharenko −3.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

3.8

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maksim Ovcharenko is favoured to win, below means Michal Lysakowski.

▲ Maksim Ovcharenkopre 55% → final 91%

Michal Lysakowski ▼

Biggest swing 58 ptsOvcharenko recovered from 38%72 points · 4 games