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Ratings & Predictions
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← TT Cup predictions
26 Oct · 08:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MSMarcin Stepien
🇨🇿Marcin Stepien
ELO 1600
3-2Final setsStepien won
BMBartlomiej Molka
🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka
ELO 1564
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Stepien at 51%. The actual result was Marcin Stepien 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marcin Stepien favoured — closing 1.65
Favourite won
Total 77.5
100 points played
Over
Set handicap
Marcin Stepien −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marcin Stepien −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.35
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marcin Stepien is favoured to win, below means Bartlomiej Molka.

▲ Marcin Stepienpre 47% → final 77%
Bartlomiej Molka ▼
Biggest swing 71 ptsStepien recovered from 19%72 points · 5 games